IPO Allotment Probability Calculator
IPO Allotment Probability
Calculate your chances of getting an IPO allotment in the retail category.
Allotment Probability
6.45%
Applying multiple lots from a single account does not increase chances. Unique accounts are required.
What to do next
Based on your IPO Allotment Probability Calculator, here are the tools you should try next:
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IPO Draw of Lots Allotment Probability Formula
Calculates chances of receiving allotment in oversubscribed IPO retail categories decided via lottery.
Worked Example: Retail category is oversubscribed 8.5 times
IPO Bidding: Understanding subscription rates and lottery probability
Sanjay bid for a highly anticipated IPO lot. The retail category subscription rate was reported at 8.5 times oversubscribed. Sanjay checked his allotment chances.
His probability of receiving a lot allotment was 11.76% due to the draw of lots lottery system. Understanding this, he applied across multiple accounts.
IPO allotment probabilities in oversubscribed retail categories are decided via lottery, where chances are inversely proportional to subscription levels.
Applying for multiple lots from a single demat account does not increase retail lottery chances. Apply across separate family accounts instead.
Frequently Asked Questions
How is IPO allotment decided in oversubscribed issues?
When the retail portion of an IPO is oversubscribed, the allotment is decided via a computerized draw of lots (a lottery system) supervised by the exchange registrar.
Does applying for multiple lots increase my chances?
No. In the retail category, applying for 10 lots from a single PAN card gives you the exact same probability of allotment as applying for 1 lot.
How can I increase my IPO allotment chances?
The only mathematical way to increase your chances is to apply for single lots across multiple separate demat accounts registered under the names of different family members.
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